Joao Fonseca vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
Next Gen Finals - Jeddah • Hard • Dec 22, 2024 • 5:10 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,411 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,411 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,954 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,954 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Next Gen Finals - Jeddah on December 22, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Fonseca enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Tien has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fonseca leads 4–1 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.