Lourdes Carle Maria vs Katarzyna Kawa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Florianopolis • Clay • Dec 6, 2024 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lourdes Carle Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katarzyna Kawa
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,895 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,895 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Katarzyna Kawa are set to meet at the Florianopolis on December 6, 2024 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2024, while Kawa has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 2–1 over Kawa, including a win in their most recent meeting.