Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lyon 2 • Hard • Nov 10, 2024 • 10:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
65% · 13–7 on hard
50% · 17–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Lyon 2 on November 10, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Varona enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Aguilar has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Varona leads 3–2 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.