Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Turin • Hard • Nov 12, 2024 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Finals - Turin on November 12, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Minaur has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–4 over Minaur, including a win in their most recent meeting.