Maria Mateas vs Alana Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
Midland • Hard • Nov 3, 2024 • 3:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alana Smith
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Mateas
50% · 13–13 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
0% · 0–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alana Smith
24% · 5–16 on hard
45% · 5–6 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~610 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~610 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Mateas and Alana Smith are set to meet at the Midland on November 3, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Mateas enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Smith has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Smith leads 2–1 over Mateas.