Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Riyadh • Hard • Nov 3, 2024 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula are set to meet at the Finals - Riyadh on November 3, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Pegula has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Pegula, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 6–3 over Gauff, including a win in their most recent meeting.